There are competing sets of data on the precise number of coronavirus infections and fatalities in the United States, but NBC News’ tally pointed this morning to a grim milestone for the nation: more than 50,000 Americans have now died as a result of the pandemic.
If that number sounds familiar, it may be because Donald Trump used it in an unusual way during Monday’s White House press briefing:
“[W]e did the right thing, because if we didn’t do it, you would have had a million people, a million and a half people, maybe 2 million people dead. Now, we’re going toward 50, I’m hearing, or 60,000 people. One is too many. I always say it: One is too many. But we’re going toward 50- or 60,000 people.”
Even at the time, it was difficult to understand why the president was making such a projection. As of Monday, roughly 42,000 Americans had died from COVID-19. By suggesting the overall death toll could be as low as 50,000, Trump was effectively raising the possibility of a miraculous collapse in coronavirus fatalities.
So why in the world would the president tell the public that a death toll of 50,000 to 60,000 would be as bad as the crisis gets? Could he not see where the trajectory was headed?
A Washington Post analysis made a compelling case this week that Trump pointed to these numbers as a result of the White House misunderstanding COVID-19 modeling. I don’t doubt that this confusion played an important part in the unfortunate presidential rhetoric.
But I also wonder whether Trump sees peddling bogus projections as his version of cheer-leading.








