We are only 26 days away until Decision 2012 is made. But tonight marks the duel in Danville, Kentucky where Vice President Biden faces Representative Ryan in the only Vice Presidential debate the two will have this election season. The format for the debate is simple: 9, 10-minute segments, each with a 2 minute response time followed by a discussion. The debate focus will be on foreign and domestic policy. It is ABC’s Martha Raddatz’s moderating debut, and many are hoping she’ll be able to control both candidates better than last week.
Unfortunately for Vice President Biden his favorability view has declined since his 2008 debate with Sarah Palin, according to a recent Pew Research poll. 39% of adults view Biden as favorable while 44% view Ryan as favorable. Another survey conducted by Pew shows that 40% expected Ryan to do a better job in tonight’s debate compared to the 34% who expect Biden to succeed.
While many expect tonight’s debate to be entertaining, it is unclear if this debate will alter the polls. According to Gallup, no VP debate in the 36 year history of televised VP debates, has meaningfully altered voter preferences. One reason is that the Vice Presidential is not a highly watched television event, as is the Presidential debate. This year’s debate has even lower viewer expectations with only 54% of voters say they are likely to watch the debate. That’s compared to the Biden-Palin debate 4 years ago where 69% said they were very likely to watch, and as we now know, 2008 generated the largest VP audience ever with 70 million viewers.








